Low dividends with a weak dollar

Hey there! If you follow my blog, you know I’m a huge fan of US companies that shell out dividends with the regularity of a Swiss watch. However, in 2026, we find ourselves facing a paradox: while many of these companies are thriving, we European investors are watching our Euro-denominated payouts get a lot leaner.

The reason? The dollar’s slump. When you invest in US stocks, you aren’t just buying a piece of a company; you’re also buying the currency it’s traded in.


The Translation Effect: Why Your Dividends Are “Shrinking”

The mechanism is simple but ruthless. If a US company pays a $100 dividend, the amount that hits your bank account depends entirely on the $EUR/USD$ exchange rate.

  • Scenario A (Strong Dollar): Exchange rate at 1.05. Your $100 is worth roughly €95.
  • Scenario B (Weak Dollar): Exchange rate at 1.20 (as we’re seeing in early 2026). Your $100 is now worth only €83.

Without the company cutting a single cent from its payout, you’ve lost nearly 13% of your purchasing power solely due to the exchange rate.


Real-World Examples: “Dividend Kings” Under Pressure

Let’s look at how this impacts some famous stocks known for their hefty and consistent dividends.

US StockSectorEstimated Dividend Yield (2026)Impact on European Investors
Verizon (VZ)Telecoms~6.5%The generous yield is eroded by the Euro’s appreciation, cancelling out part of the “premium.”
Realty Income (O)Real Estate (REIT)~5.8%Since this is a monthly payer, the dollar’s decline reduces your real cash flow every single month.
ExxonMobil (XOM)Energy~3.3%Even if the company raises its dividend, for us, the payout remains flat or even drops in Euro terms.

The Silver Lining: The “Natural Hedge”

It’s not all doom and gloom. Many of these multinationals (think Coca-Cola or Apple) generate a huge chunk of their revenue outside the US. When the dollar drops, their foreign profits are worth more when they bring them back home. This often leads to a stock price increase or future dividend hikes, which can offset the currency loss in the long run.


What Should You Do as an Investor?

If you’re a long-term investor, don’t panic. Currency cycles come and go. Here are three tips:

  1. Diversify: Don’t just bet on the US; look at European dividend champions (like Enel or Allianz) that pay directly in Euros.
  2. Euro Hedged ETFs: If you want to eliminate currency risk, there are “Euro Hedged” versions of US dividend ETFs.
  3. Accumulate: If you believe the dollar will bounce back in a few years, you are technically buying US assets “at a discount” right now.

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